Stocks of tiny companies: worth the risk
One of my clients called me excitedly. Shed whimsically invested $2,000 in a
mining stock selling at $2 per share. Then the company discovered platinum and the stock
shot up to $52. Now my client wanted to know what to do. I told her that her ship had come
in. She should sell her stock and enjoy her good fortune before the boat sailed in a new
direction.
My clients mining company belongs to a category called micro-caps. While the
average member of the Standard & Poors 500 stock index has $11.5 billion worth
of stock outstanding, micro-caps have market capitalizations ranging from a few hundred
thousand dollars to less than $250 million. Many of these tiny stocks dont trade on
any exchange. Instead, theyre sold in the over-the-counter market.
Why are micro-caps interesting? Over the past 70 years, theyve outperformed
larger companies by a wide margin. Of the stocks on the New York Stock Exchange, the tenth
encompassing the smallest companies returned 13.8 percent annually, according to Ibbotson
Associated. Meanwhile, the tenth representing the largest stocks produced 9.7 percent.
Despite that record, few Wall Street analysts bother with micro-caps because
theyre too small for institutions to trade effectively. That means opportunities
exist for you to find gems in one of the few investment fields that hasnt yet been
picked over by hordes of professionals.
While they come with plenty of risk, small companies can achieve huge returns when they
thrive. Many of todays biggest successes, including McDonalds and Microsoft,
started as micro-caps.
Do-it-yourself investors who want to search for micro-caps can get help from The Value
Line Investment Survey Expanded Edition, which provides information on 1,800 smaller
companies, including some with capitalizations of $75 million or less. An annual
subscription costs $249. Or you can buy Morningstars U.S. Equities OnFloppy, which
costs $145 and gives details on more than 7,800 companies, many of them micro-caps. After
youve located a few promising targets, call the companies directly for more
information. Dont be surprised if you end up talking to the president, who may own
half the shares.
A good approach is to focus on industries and companies youre familiar with. Many
of my firms doctor clients have invested successfully in companies theyve
learned about through their practices. For help sizing up stocks, you can try brokers.
Regional brokerages sometimes specialize in local firms. But beware of brokers whose main
strength is marketing, not research. Blindly following hot tips is a sure recipe for
disappointing results.
If you hear about an "undiscovered" micro-cap stock with an appealing story,
be skeptical. Study the company carefully, and limit your purchases to a very small
fraction of your portfolio. Check the stocks recent performance. If the shares have
skyrocketed, theyre no longer undiscovered and may not offer value.
No matter how much research you do, purchasing micro-cap stocks can be as chancy as a
spin of the roulette wheel. Small, specialized companies can never be as steady as
diversified giants. In no time, you can lose all youve invested. Instead of trying
to pick individual winners, therefore, most investors should stick with mutual funds. That
way, youll spread you risk and have a pro researching selections. I particularly
like Royce Micro-Cap Trust, managed by Charles M. Royce, the dean of small-stock
investing. Chuck seeks a cross section of companies selling at a discount. His mutual fund
is closed-end, which means it sells a fixed number of shares that trade on NASDAQ. The
shares currently sell at a 12 percent discount to the value of the portfolio assets. So
you get a discount on top of a discount. However, if you prefer a conventional mutual
fund, you can buy Royce Micro-Cap Fund, which also buys low-priced stocks.
Berwyn Fund, a conventional fund, also buys very small companies selling at low prices.
Taking only mild risks, the fund has nearly matched the S&P 500s performance
over the past five years.
DFA U.S. 9-10 Small Company Portfolio has done even better, outperforming the S&P
500 by more than 2 percentage points annually over the past five years. DFA holds a cross
section of stocks resembling the overall micro-cap market. The fund isnt sold to the
general public. You must buy shares through an investment adviser who has an account at
DFA.
You can get aggressive micro-cap funds that specialize in high-priced glamour stocks.
But such funds can drop sharply in a bear market. So I prefer a more cautious index or
value fund.
Because micro-caps can be risky, you shouldnt invest more than 10 percent of your
assets in them. As Ive said, mutual funds provide your best protection against the
huge losses these small stocks can sometimes suffer. Bur if youve got a few extra
dollars and are in a mood to take a chance, buy a couple of individual micros. Who knows?
You may discover gold. Or better yet platinum. |